/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
-
Casper De Norre
22'
-
Shaun Hutchinson
90'+5'
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Teden Mengi
10'
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Teden Mengi
41'
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Thomas Kaminski
85'
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Alfie Doughty
89'
Millwall vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Frob-edwards.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
Result
Millwall
41.22%
▲
(+0.29)
Draw
26.32%
▲
(+0.07)
Luton Town
32.45%
▼
(-0.36)
Both Teams to Score:
52.45%
▼
(-0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.87%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 2.5
52.13%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 3.5
26.15%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 3.5
73.85%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 4.5
12.1%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 4.5
87.9%
▲
(+0.20)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5
75.04%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
24.96%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
40.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
59.6%
▲
(+0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
69.9%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
30.1%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 1.5
33.76%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 1.5
66.24%
▲
(+0.49)
Score analysis
Millwall
41.22%
Draw
26.31%
Luton Town
32.45%
Millwall
1-0
@
10.42%
▲
(+0.15)
2-1 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 41.22%
2-1 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 41.22%
Draw
1-1
@
12.51%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.31%
0-0 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.31%
Luton Town
0-1
@
9.02%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 32.45%
1-2 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 32.45%