Copa America
Jun 23, 2024 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT NRG Stadium
  • Gerardo Arteaga 69' goal
  • Gerardo Arteaga 69' goal
  • goal Michail Antonio 51'

Mexico vs Jamaica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

Jamaica

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result

Mexico 44.74% (+0.36)
Draw 25.76%
Jamaica 29.5% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.91% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.06% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 50.94% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 27.19% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 72.81% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 12.77% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 87.22% (+0.10)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 77.29% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 22.71% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 43.63% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 56.37% (-0.14)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5 68.46% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 31.54% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 32.06% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 67.94% (+0.40)

Score analysis

Mexico 44.73%
Draw 25.76%
Jamaica 29.5%
Mexico
1-0 @ 10.61% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.08% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.87% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.49% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.89% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.44% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 44.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.16% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 25.76%
Jamaica
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.5%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 13, 2023 3.36am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Allegiant Stadium
  • goal Henry Martin 2'
  • goal Luis Chavez 30'
  • goal Roberto Alvarado 90'+3'
CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 27, 2023 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Orbelin Pineda 17' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 45'+2' goal
  • goal Bobby Reid 7'
  • goal Edson Alvarez 32' (OG)
CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 15, 2022 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Independence Park
  • Leon Bailey 4' goal
  • Jamoi Topey 7' yellowcard
  • Amari'i Bell 48' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Uriel 37'
  • goal Luis Romo 45'+3'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Jan 28, 2022 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Damion Lowe 45'+2' redcard
  • Daniel Johnson 50' goal
  • goal Henry Martin 81'
  • goal Alexis Vega 83'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 3, 2021 3.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alexis Vega 21' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 22' yellowcard
  • Edson Alvarez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 50' goal
  • Henry Martin 89' goal
  • Henry Martin 90' goal
  • yellowcard Cory Burke 14'
  • goal Shamar Nicholson 65'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 27, 2015 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
  • Je-Vaughn Watson 24' yellowcard
  • Rodolph Austin 30' yellowcard
  • Darren Mattocks 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jason Duenas 7'
  • goal Andres Guardado 31'
  • yellowcard Diego Reyes 34'
  • goal Jesus Corona 47'
  • goal Oribe Peralta 61'