/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Feculog.png)
-
Cesar Montes
6'
-
Cesar Montes
6'
-
Jorge Sanchez
50'
-
Jorge Sanchez
50'
-
Luis Chavez
73'
-
Luis Chavez
73'
-
Johan Vasquez
82'
-
Johan Vasquez
82'
-
Carlos Uriel
90'+4'
-
Carlos Uriel
90'+4'
-
Moises Caicedo
43'
-
Moises Caicedo
43'
-
Jordy Caicedo
90'+6'
-
Jordy Caicedo
90'+6'
Mexico vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F26%2FCarlos%20Rodriguez.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result
Mexico
40.71%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
27.3%
▼
(-0.15)
Ecuador
31.99%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
49.28%
▲
(+0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.89%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 2.5
56.11%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 3.5
22.82%
▲
(+0.46)
Under 3.5
77.18%
▼
(-0.46)
Over 4.5
10%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 4.5
89.99%
▼
(-0.28)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
72.93%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 0.5
27.06%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 1.5
37.56%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 1.5
62.43%
▼
(-0.43)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5
67.57%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 0.5
32.43%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 1.5
31.05%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 1.5
68.95%
▼
(-0.36)
Score analysis
Mexico
40.7%
Draw
27.29%
Ecuador
31.99%
Mexico
1-0
@
11.47%
▼
(-0.14)
2-1 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.7%
2-1 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.7%
Draw
1-1
@
12.91%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.29%
0-0 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.29%
Ecuador
0-1
@
9.88%
▼
(-0.13)
1-2 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.99%
1-2 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.99%
