Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 10, 2025 8.35am
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Brendan Hamill 9' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 39' goal
  • Adama Traore 56' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 56' yellowcard
  • Kasey Bos 56' yellowcard
  • Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 79' goal
  • Kasey Bos 88' yellowcard
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 17'
  • yellowcard Angus Thurgate 24'
  • yellowcard Ben Garuccio 57'
  • goal Abel Walatee 69'
  • goal Noah Botic 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Matthew Grimaldi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Noah Botic 90'+3'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 90'+5'

Melbourne Victory vs Western United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 4, 2025 8.35am
Victory 2 - 2 Western Sydney
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Nishan Velupillay

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 7, 2025 7.00am
Melbourne City 2 - 0 Western Utd
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Noah Botic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Western United had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne Victory 51.37% (+0.09)
Draw 22.49% (-0.02)
Western United 26.14% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.34% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.33% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 38.67% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 39.03% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 60.97% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 21.37% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.63% (-0.02)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 84.77% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 15.23% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 56.1% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 43.89% (-0.08)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 72.36% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 27.63% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 36.82% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 63.18% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 51.37%
Draw 22.49%
Western United 26.14%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.59% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.92% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.45% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.01% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.68% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.87% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 51.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.49%
Western United
1-2 @ 6.55% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.41% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 26.14%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Dec 1, 2024 5.00am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT Whitten Oval
  • Noah Botic 19' goal
  • Noah Botic 19' goal
  • goal Zinedine Machach 8'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 8'
  • goal Nikolaos Vergos 48'
  • goal Nikolaos Vergos 48'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 69'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 69'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Mar 14, 2024 8.00am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Tomoki Imai 27' yellowcard
  • Daniel Penha 43' goal
  • Josh Risdon 72' yellowcard
  • Ben Garuccio 90' goal
  • yellowcard Salim Khelifi 53'
  • goal Ben Folami 70'
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 72'
  • goal Chris Ikonomidis 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Feb 20, 2024 8.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Marvel Stadium
  • Nishan Velupillay 13' yellowcard
  • Damien Da Silva 90'+5' goal
  • Damien Da Silva 90'+8' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Ruhs 17'
  • yellowcard Tomoki Imai 21'
  • goal Daniel Penha 60'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Mar 13, 2023 7.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT AAMI Park
  • Bruno Fornaroli 50' goal
  • goal Noah Botic 38'
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 69'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Dec 26, 2022 7.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Whitten Oval
  • Josh Risdon 45'+1' goal
Australian A-League
May 21, 2022 8.15am
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT AAMI Park
  • Jake Brimmer 37' goal
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 18'
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 49'
  • yellowcard Josh Risdon 66'
  • goal Lachlan Wales 78'
  • yellowcard Neil Kilkenny 81'
  • goal Dylan Wenzel-Halls 90'+9'