/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Flenlog_2.png)
-
Valentin Rongier
53'
-
Ismael Bennacer
77'
-
Leonardo Balerdi
84'
-
Leonardo Balerdi
85'
-
Abdulay Juma Bah
60'
-
Neil El Aynaoui
90'+4'
Marseille vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Fluis-henrique.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Lens had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result
Marseille
51.05%
▲
(+0.15)
Draw
23.53%
▼
(-0.03)
Lens
25.42%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
57.01%
▼
(-0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
44.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
33.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
66.45%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
17.19%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
82.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
82.68%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
17.32%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
52.32%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
47.68%
▼
(-0.10)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5
68.95%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
31.05%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
32.63%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
67.37%
▲
(+0.11)
Score analysis
Marseille
51.05%
Draw
23.52%
Lens
25.42%
Marseille
2-1
@
9.67%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 51.05%
1-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 51.05%
Draw
1-1
@
11.02%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.52%
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.52%
Lens
1-2
@
6.45%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 25.42%
Head to Head
-
Przemyslaw Frankowski
37'
-
Deiver Machado
74'
-
Angelo Fulgini
80'
-
Kevin Danso
83'
-
Florian Sotoca
90'+6'
-
Angelo Fulgini
90'+6'
-
Valentin Rongier
19'
-
Valentin Rongier
49'
-
Luis Henrique
57'
-
Geoffrey Kondogbia
66'
-
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg
89'
-
Ulisses Garcia
90'+1'