Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Gautier Lloris 31' yellowcard
  • Yoann Salmier 46' yellowcard
  • Abdoulaye Toure 73' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Ferri 35'

Le Havre vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2024 7.45pm
Rennes 1 - 0 Le Havre
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Abdoulaye Toure

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2024 4.00pm
Montpellier 0 - 3 Toulouse
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Arnaud Nordin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.

Result

Le Havre 39.27% (+0.81)
Draw 25.4% (-0.19)
Montpellier HSC 35.33% (-0.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.21% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.4% (+0.77)
Under 2.5 47.6% (-0.76)
Over 3.5 30.2% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 69.8% (-0.70)
Over 4.5 14.81% (+0.49)
Under 4.5 85.19% (-0.49)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 76.06% (+0.78)
Under 0.5 23.94% (-0.77)
Over 1.5 41.83% (+1.09)
Under 1.5 58.17% (-1.09)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 73.9% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.11% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 38.84% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.17% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Le Havre 39.27%
Draw 25.4%
Montpellier HSC 35.33%
Le Havre
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.58% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 6.39% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.09% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.04% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.46% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.09% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 39.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.76% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
Montpellier HSC
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.27)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.58% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.09)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 35.33%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Loic Nego 31' yellowcard
  • Josue Casimir 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Becir Omeragic 70'
  • yellowcard Modibo Sagnan 70'
  • goal Jordan Ferri 72'
  • goal Christopher Jullien 80'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Mosson
  • Christopher Jullien 48' yellowcard
  • Akor Adams 58' goal
  • Akor Adams 60' goal
  • goal Gautier Lloris 5'
  • yellowcard Arouna Sangante 55'
  • yellowcard Oussama Targhalline 65'
  • goal Samuel Grandsir 90'