/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fhavlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flyolog.png)
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Loic Nego
6'
-
Abdoulaye Toure
18'
-
Josue Casimir
36'
-
Abner Vinicius
32'
-
Rayan Cherki
35'
-
Maxence Caqueret
36'
-
Corentin Tolisso
47'
-
Malick Fofana
57'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
71'
-
Ernest Nuamah
78'
-
Said Benrahma
87'
Le Havre vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Frayan-cherki_1.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result
Le Havre
23.95%
▼
(-0.36)
Draw
23.45%
▲
(+0.06)
Lyon
52.6%
▲
(+0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
55.68%
▼
(-0.60)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.91%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 2.5
45.09%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 3.5
32.57%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 3.5
67.43%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 4.5
16.48%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 4.5
83.52%
▲
(+0.42)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5
67.19%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 0.5
32.81%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 1.5
30.62%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 1.5
69.38%
▲
(+0.71)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
82.87%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
17.13%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
52.65%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
47.34%
▲
(+0.20)
Score analysis
Le Havre
23.95%
Draw
23.45%
Lyon
52.6%
Le Havre
1-0
@
6.26%
▲
(+0.06)
2-1 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 23.95%
2-1 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 23.95%
Draw
1-1
@
11.05%
▲
(+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.45%
0-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.45%
Lyon
0-1
@
9.92%
▲
(+0.22)
1-2 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 52.6%
1-2 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 52.6%
Jake O'Brien
30'