Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Girona had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.