Serie A
Gameweek
13
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcaglog.png)
-
Morten Frendrup
12'
-
Fabio Miretti
59'
-
Aaron Caricol
79'
-
Mattia Bani
86'
-
Razvan Marin
8'
-
Razvan Marin
66'
-
Roberto Piccoli
88'
-
Nicolas Viola
90'+4'
Genoa vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Genoa
39.07%
▼
(-0.50)
Draw
27.63%
▲
(+0.12)
Cagliari
33.29%
▲
(+0.39)
Both Teams to Score:
48.62%
▼
(-0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.89%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 2.5
57.1%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 3.5
22.02%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 3.5
77.98%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 4.5
9.52%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 4.5
90.48%
▲
(+0.18)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5
71.55%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 0.5
28.45%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 1.5
35.79%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 1.5
64.21%
▲
(+0.58)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5
67.95%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
32.05%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
31.48%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
68.52%
▼
(-0.09)
Score analysis
Genoa
39.07%
Draw
27.63%
Cagliari
33.29%
Genoa
1-0
@
11.46%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 39.07%
2-1 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 39.07%
Draw
1-1
@
13.04%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.63%
0-0 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.63%
Cagliari
0-1
@
10.37%
▲
(+0.16)
1-2 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.29%
1-2 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.29%