European Championship
France
Jun 25, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
Poland
  • Adrien Rabiot 43' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 56' goal
  • yellowcard Nicola Zalewski 24'
  • yellowcard Michal Probierz 53'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 79'
  • yellowcard Pawel Dawidowicz 89'
  • yellowcard Karol Swiderski 90'+2'

France vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 21, 2024 8.00pm
Netherlands 0 - 0 France

Poland

All competitions
European Championship
Last game
Jun 21, 2024 5.00pm
Poland 1 - 3 Austria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Poland had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

France 57.11% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 22.88% ▼ (-0.12)
Poland 20.01% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.13% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.8% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 47.19% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 30.57% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 69.42% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 4.5 15.07% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 4.5 84.93% ▼ (-0.14)

France Goals

Over 0.5 83.71% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 16.28% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 54.15% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 45.84% ▼ (-0.33)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5 62.27% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 37.73% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 25.49% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 74.5% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

France 57.1%
Draw 22.88%
Poland 20.01%
France
1-0 @ 11.15% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.70)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 57.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 22.88%
Poland
0-1 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 20.01%

Head to Head

World Cup
France
Dec 4, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Al Thumama Stadium
Poland
  • Olivier Giroud 44' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 74' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+1' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 90'+9'

Form Data

Netherlands 0 - 0 France
Austria 0 - 1 France
France 0 - 0 Canada
France 3 - 0 Luxembourg
France 3 - 2 Chile
France 0 - 2 Germany
Poland 1 - 3 Austria
Poland 1 - 2 Netherlands
Poland 2 - 1 Turkey
Poland 3 - 1 Ukraine
Wales 0 - 0 Poland
Poland 5 - 1 Estonia

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups
News