Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.