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Liam Thompson
15'
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Craig Forsyth
48'
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Jerry Yates
52'
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Robbie Brady
72'
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Mads Frokjaer-Jensen
90'
Derby County vs Preston North End - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Derby County Goals
Preston North End Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.31)
2-1 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.29)
3-0 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.14)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-92.74)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 44.2%
0-0 @ 11.61% ▼ (-0.66)
2-2 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.92%
1-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.27)
1-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 26.86%
