/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmkdlog.png)
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Conor Thomas
42'
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Scott Hogan
28'
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Luke Offord
38'
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Aaron Nemane
50'
Crewe Alexandra vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Flee-bell.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result
Crewe Alexandra
42.34%
▼
(-0.38)
Draw
25.32%
▲
(+0.16)
MK Dons
32.34%
▲
(+0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
55.71%
▼
(-0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.09%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 2.5
47.91%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 3.5
29.91%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 3.5
70.09%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 4.5
14.61%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 4.5
85.39%
▲
(+0.39)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5
77.46%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 0.5
22.54%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 1.5
43.87%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 1.5
56.13%
▲
(+0.66)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
71.92%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
28.08%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
36.25%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
63.75%
▲
(+0.20)
Score analysis
Crewe Alexandra
42.34%
Draw
25.31%
MK Dons
32.34%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0
@
9.43%
▲
(+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.34%
2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.34%
Draw
1-1
@
11.97%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-0 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
MK Dons
0-1
@
8.04%
▲
(+0.17)
1-2 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.34%
1-2 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.34%