World Cup Qualifying - South America
Colombia
Mar 26, 2025 12.00am
2
2
HT : 6 3
FT Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
Paraguay
  • Luis Diaz 1' goal
  • Luis Diaz 1' goal
  • Luis Diaz 1' goal
  • Jhon Duran 13' goal
  • Jhon Duran 13' goal
  • Jhon Duran 13' goal
  • Luis Diaz 81' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 81' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 81' yellowcard
  • Leandro Campaz 89' yellowcard
  • Leandro Campaz 89' yellowcard
  • Leandro Campaz 89' yellowcard
  • goal Junior Alonso 45'+4'
  • goal Junior Alonso 45'+4'
  • goal Junior Alonso 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Matias Galarza 49'
  • yellowcard Matias Galarza 49'
  • yellowcard Matias Galarza 49'
  • yellowcard Matias Galarza 49'
  • yellowcard Matias Galarza 49'
  • yellowcard Matias Galarza 49'
  • goal Julio Enciso 62'
  • goal Julio Enciso 62'
  • goal Julio Enciso 62'
  • yellowcard Gatito Fernandez Torres 85'
  • yellowcard Gatito Fernandez Torres 85'
  • yellowcard Gatito Fernandez Torres 85'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Velazquez 86'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Velazquez 86'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Velazquez 86'
  • yellowcard Andres Cubas 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Andres Cubas 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Andres Cubas 90'+3'

Colombia vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Mar 21, 2025 12.45am
Brazil 2 - 1 Colombia

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 11.00pm
Paraguay 1 - 0 Chile

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.82%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Colombia 64.25% ▼ (-0.50)
Draw 22.46% ▲ (+0.35)
Paraguay 13.29% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.02% ▼ (-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.84% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 2.5 56.16% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 3.5 22.78% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 3.5 77.22% ▲ (+0.78)
Over 4.5 9.98% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 4.5 90.02% ▲ (+0.48)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5 83.03% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 0.5 16.97% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 1.5 52.92% ▼ (-0.90)
Under 1.5 47.08% ▲ (+0.90)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 48.2% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 0.5 51.8% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 1.5 14.13% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 85.88% ▲ (+0.23)

Score analysis

Colombia 64.24%
Draw 22.45%
Paraguay 13.29%
Colombia
1-0 @ 15.59% ▲ (+0.32)
2-0 @ 13.82% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 64.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.32)
2-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.45%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.16)
1-2 @ 3.37%
0-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 13.29%

Head to Head

Copa America
Colombia
Jun 24, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT NRG Stadium
Paraguay
  • Jefferson Lerma 14' yellowcard
  • Daniel Munoz 32' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 42' goal
  • yellowcard Gustavo Velazquez 53'
  • goal Julio Enciso 69'
  • yellowcard Andres Cubas 78'
  • yellowcard Daniel Oscar Garnero 90'+4'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Paraguay
Nov 21, 2023 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Colombia
  • Juan Jose Caceres 24' yellowcard
  • Juan Jose Caceres 24' yellowcard
  • Hernesto Caballero 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Hernesto Caballero 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Rafael Borre 11'
  • goal Rafael Borre 11'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 45'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 45'
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Daniel Munoz 69'
  • yellowcard Daniel Munoz 69'
  • yellowcard Jhon Cordoba 83'
  • yellowcard Jhon Cordoba 83'
International Friendlies
Colombia
Nov 20, 2022 1.20am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Paraguay
  • Davinson Sanchez 14' goal
  • Radamel Falcao 76' goal
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Colombia
Nov 16, 2021 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Paraguay
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Paraguay
Sep 5, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Colombia
  • Antonio Sanabria 40' goal
  • goal Juan Cuadrado 53'
Copa America
Colombia
Jun 23, 2019 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Itaipava Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
Paraguay
  • Cristian Borja 29' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Cuellar 31' goal
  • Jhon Lucumi 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Arzamendia 49'

Form Data

Brazil 2 - 1 Colombia
Colombia 0 - 1 Ecuador
Uruguay 3 - 2 Colombia
Colombia 4 - 0 Chile
Bolivia 1 - 0 Colombia
Colombia 2 - 1 Argentina
Paraguay 1 - 0 Chile
Bolivia 2 - 2 Paraguay
Paraguay 2 - 1 Argentina
Paraguay 2 - 1 Venezuela
Ecuador 0 - 0 Paraguay
Paraguay 1 - 0 Brazil