World Cup Qualifying - South America
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Eduardo Vargas
20'
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Eduardo Vargas
20'
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Tomas Rincon
29'
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Tomas Rincon
29'
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Arturo Vidal
37'
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Arturo Vidal
37'
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Lucas Cepeda
38'
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Lucas Cepeda
38'
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Lucas Cepeda
47'
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Lucas Cepeda
47'
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Jefferson Savarino
13'
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Jefferson Savarino
13'
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Ruben Ramirez
22'
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Ruben Ramirez
22'
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Jon Aramburu
43'
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Jon Aramburu
43'
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Wilker Angel
78'
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Wilker Angel
78'
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Jose Andres Martinez
85'
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Jose Andres Martinez
85'
Chile vs Venezuela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
Result
Chile
45.35%
▼
(-0.66)
Draw
26.95%
▼
(-0.10)
Venezuela
27.7%
▲
(+0.75)
Both Teams to Score:
48.25%
▲
(+0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.56%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 2.5
56.44%
▼
(-0.76)
Over 3.5
22.55%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 3.5
77.44%
▼
(-0.61)
Over 4.5
9.84%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 4.5
90.15%
▼
(-0.37)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5
75.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
24.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
40.6%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
59.39%
▼
(-0.03)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5
64.18%
▲
(+1.03)
Under 0.5
35.82%
▼
(-1.03)
Over 1.5
27.4%
▲
(+1.04)
Under 1.5
72.6%
▼
(-1.04)
Score analysis
Chile
45.34%
Draw
26.94%
Venezuela
27.7%
Chile
1-0
@
12.38%
▼
(-0.36)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.34%
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.34%
Draw
1-1
@
12.71%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.27)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.94%
0-0 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.27)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.94%
Venezuela
0-1
@
9.13%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.7%
1-2 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.7%
Marcelino Nunez
59'