/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmkdlog.png)
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Josh Vela
3'
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Matthew Dennis
26'
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Kadeem Harris
45'+4'
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Joe Tomlinson
6'
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Aaron Nemane
8'
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Alex Gilbey
37'
Carlisle United vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F47%2Fmark-hughes.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result
Carlisle United
34.85%
▼
(-0.49)
Draw
26.37%
▼
(-0.37)
MK Dons
38.78%
▲
(+0.86)
Both Teams to Score:
52.87%
▲
(+1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.15%
▲
(+1.47)
Under 2.5
51.85%
▼
(-1.47)
Over 3.5
26.39%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 3.5
73.61%
▼
(-1.26)
Over 4.5
12.25%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 4.5
87.75%
▼
(-0.81)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
71.58%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 0.5
28.42%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
35.82%
▲
(+0.52)
Under 1.5
64.18%
▼
(-0.52)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
73.86%
▲
(+1.17)
Under 0.5
26.14%
▼
(-1.17)
Over 1.5
38.79%
▲
(+1.54)
Under 1.5
61.21%
▼
(-1.54)
Score analysis
Carlisle United
34.85%
Draw
26.37%
MK Dons
38.78%
Carlisle United
1-0
@
9.35%
▼
(-0.45)
2-1 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.85%
2-1 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.21)
3-1 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.85%
Draw
1-1
@
12.54%
▼
(-0.17)
0-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.45)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.37%
0-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.45)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.37%
MK Dons
0-1
@
9.97%
▼
(-0.26)
1-2 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.20)
0-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.15)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.11)
0-4 @ 1% ▼ (-92.20)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.78%
1-2 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.20)
0-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.15)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.11)
0-4 @ 1% ▼ (-92.20)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.78%
Head to Head
Form Data
Build-up
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F01%2Fscott-lindsey.jpeg)