/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Calum Chambers
45'+4'
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Perry Ng
59'
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Callum Robinson
62'
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Callum Robinson
62'
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Anwar El Ghazi
64'
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Anwar El Ghazi
64'
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Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
71'
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Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
71'
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Callum Elder
75'
Cardiff City vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Cardiff City Goals
Derby County Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 43.56%
0-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.27%
1-2 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 29.15%