/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
-
Yousef Salech
42'
-
Josh Brownhill
19'
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Maxime Esteve
40'
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James Trafford
90'+1'
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Lucas Pires
90'+1'
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Jeremy Sarmiento
90'+4'
Cardiff City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Cardiff City
31.17%
▲
(+1.63)
Draw
29.5%
▲
(+1.06)
Burnley
39.33%
▼
(-2.68)
Both Teams to Score:
42.91%
▼
(-2.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.07%
▼
(-3.00)
Under 2.5
63.92%
▲
(+3.00)
Over 3.5
16.87%
▼
(-2.20)
Under 3.5
83.13%
▲
(+2.19)
Over 4.5
6.6%
▼
(-1.21)
Under 4.5
93.4%
▲
(+1.21)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5
62.8%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 0.5
37.19%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
26.02%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 1.5
73.98%
▲
(+0.40)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
68.32%
▼
(-3.05)
Under 0.5
31.68%
▲
(+3.04)
Over 1.5
31.9%
▼
(-3.65)
Under 1.5
68.1%
▲
(+3.65)
Score analysis
Cardiff City
31.16%
Draw
29.49%
Burnley
39.32%
Cardiff City
1-0
@
11.65%
▲
(+1.13)
2-1 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.50)
3-1 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 31.16%
2-1 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.50)
3-1 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 31.16%
Draw
1-1
@
13.39%
▲
(+0.23)
0-0 @ 11.78% ▲ (+1.25)
2-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.49%
0-0 @ 11.78% ▲ (+1.25)
2-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.49%
Burnley
0-1
@
13.54%
▲
(+0.37)
0-2 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.46)
1-2 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.54)
0-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.49)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 39.32%
0-2 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.46)
1-2 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.54)
0-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.49)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 39.32%