Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Mahdi Camara 10' goal
  • Romain Del Castillo 32' goal
  • Ludovic Ajorque 77' goal
  • Kenny Lala 84' goal
  • yellowcard Lamine Fomba 30'
  • yellowcard Yvann Macon 56'
  • yellowcard Dylan Batubinsika 66'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Cafaro 80'
  • yellowcard Pierre Cornud 82'

Brest vs Saint-Etienne - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Aug 25, 2024 2.00pm
Lens 2 - 0 Brest
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 8.00pm
St Etienne 0 - 2 Le Havre
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Lucas Stassin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result

Brest 44.77% (+0.09)
Draw 26.16% (+0.08)
Saint-Etienne 29.06% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.42% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.24% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 52.76% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 25.61% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 74.39% (+0.34)
Over 4.5 11.75% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 88.25% (+0.22)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 76.53% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 23.47% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 42.5% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 57.49% (+0.19)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5 67.19% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 32.81% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 30.62% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 69.37% (+0.37)

Score analysis

Brest 44.77%
Draw 26.15%
Saint-Etienne 29.06%
Brest
1-0 @ 11.16% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.09% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.91% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 44.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.7% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.15%
Saint-Etienne
0-1 @ 8.58% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.78% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.06%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 16, 2022 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Mahdi Camara 14' goal
  • Mahdi Camara 39' goal
  • goal Franck Honorat 8'
  • yellowcard Ronael Pierre-Gabriel 74'
  • yellowcard Haris Belkebla 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 1, 2021 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ronael Pierre-Gabriel 60' yellowcard
  • Romain Faivre 64' goal
  • Lucien Agoume 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Gourna-Douath 58'
  • yellowcard Miguel Trauco 64'
  • yellowcard Arnaud Nordin 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2021 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wahbi Khazri 11' goal
  • Zaydou Youssouf 65' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Charbonnier 66' goal
  • Haris Belkebla 77' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Charbonnier 79' goal
  • Mahdi Camara 90'+1' yellowcard
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 21, 2020 4.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Franck Honorat 7' goal
  • Jean-Kevin Duverne 23' goal
  • Lilian Brassier 30' yellowcard
  • Irvin Cardona 33' goal
  • Steve Mounie 38' goal
  • goal Mahdi Camara 31'
  • yellowcard Miguel Trauco 55'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Feb 16, 2020 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Paul Lasne 20' goal
  • Gaetan Charbonnier 38' goal
  • Irvin Cardona 43' goal
  • Brendan Chardonnet 51' yellowcard
  • Gautier Larsonneur 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yvann Macon 2'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 54'
  • yellowcard Denis Bouanga 55'
  • goal Lois Diony 69'
  • yellowcard Yohan Cabaye 83'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2019 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Ètienne)
  • Denis Bouanga 83' goal
  • Harold Moukoudi 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Haris Belkebla 18'
  • goal Julien Faussurier 45'
  • yellowcard Gaetan Charbonnier 65'