/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbellog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffralog.png)
-
Orel Mangala
29'
-
Lois Openda
45'+3'
-
Wout Faes
53'
-
Charles De Ketelaere
56'
-
Lucas Digne
7'
-
William Saliba
22'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
24'
-
Randal Kolo
35'
-
Ibrahima Konate
45'
-
Randal Kolo
62'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
76'
-
Mike Maignan
79'
Belgium vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F42%2Frandal-kolo-muani.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Fbelgium.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Fbradley-barcola.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for France had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a France win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for France in this match.
Result
Belgium
51.26%
▼
(-0.52)
Draw
25.39%
▲
(+0.24)
France
23.35%
▲
(+0.28)
Both Teams to Score:
48.97%
▼
(-0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.38%
▼
(-0.66)
Under 2.5
53.62%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 3.5
24.88%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 3.5
75.12%
▲
(+0.56)
Over 4.5
11.28%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 4.5
88.72%
▲
(+0.36)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5
79.06%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 0.5
20.94%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 1.5
46.33%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
53.67%
▲
(+0.75)
France Goals
Over 0.5
61.94%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
38.06%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
25.17%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
74.83%
▲
(+0.11)
Score analysis
Belgium
51.25%
Draw
25.38%
France
23.35%
Belgium
1-0
@
12.45%
▲
(+0.13)
2-0 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 51.25%
2-0 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 51.25%
Draw
1-1
@
12.03%
▲
(+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.38%
0-0 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.38%
France
0-1
@
7.7%
▲
(+0.18)
1-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.35%
Head to Head
Build-up
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Fkevin-de-bruyne_1.jpg)