Azerbaijan vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.