Eredivisie

May 25, 2025 at 5pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
3 - 2
FC Twente

Meerdink (43'), van Bommel (53'), Sadiq (90+3')
Mijnans (5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Steijn (22' pen., 40')
van Wolfswinkel (45+4'), Taha (65'), Hilgers (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 4-1 Heerenveen
Thursday, May 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 3-2 Nijmegen
Thursday, May 22 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
69.16%	17.76%	13.07%

Both teams to score 54.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.05%

36.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.87%

59.13%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.34%

9.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.76%

32.24%

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.88%

40.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.24%

76.76%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 69.16%

FC Twente 13.07%

Draw 17.76%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
2-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 9.06% 3-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 4.82% 4-1 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 3.44% 5-0 @ 2.25% 5-1 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 2.01% 5-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 4.16% Total : 69.16%	1-1 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.41% 0-0 @ 3.88% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.76%	1-2 @ 3.78% 0-1 @ 3.54% 0-2 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.34% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.64% Total : 13.07%