Eredivisie

May 22, 2025 at 8pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
3 - 2
Nijmegen

Sadilek (16'), Steijn (62'), Taha (94')
Taha (92')

FT
(aet)

Sano (47'), van Crooij (55')
Hansen (48'), Verdonk (120+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 2-0 FC Twente
Sunday, May 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 1-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, May 18 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%).

Result
FC Twente	Draw	NEC
51.74% ( 0.58)	23.17% ( -0.06)	25.09% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 57.87% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.23% (

-0.19)

42.76% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.83% (

-0.19)

65.17% (

0.18)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41% (

0.14)

16.59% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.61% (

0.25)

46.38% (

-0.26)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38% (

-0.51)

30.62% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.14% (

-0.61)

66.85% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 51.74%

NEC 25.09%

Draw 23.16%

FC Twente	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 51.74%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.16%	1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.94% Total : 25.09%