Eredivisie | Gameweek 33

May 14, 2025 at 7pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
2 - 3
AZ

van Wolfswinkel (13'), Vlap (23')
van Hoorenbeeck (73')

FT(HT: 2-2)

van Bommel (3'), Mijnans (45+1'), Kasius (71')
Koopmeiners (84'), Daal (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 3-0 Groningen
Sunday, May 11 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
42.35% ( -0.03)	23.66% ( 0.01)	33.99% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 62.16% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.28% (

-0.02)

39.72% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.92% (

-0.02)

62.07% (

0.02)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.91% (

-0.02)

19.09% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.3% (

-0.03)

50.7% (

0.03)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83% (

-0)

23.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.95% (

-0)

57.05% (

-0)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 42.35%

AZ Alkmaar 33.99%

Draw 23.66%

FC Twente	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 42.35%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.13% Total : 33.99%