/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
-
Ricky van Wolfswinkel
13'
-
Michel Vlap
23'
-
Alec van Hoorenbeeck
73'
-
Ruben van Bommel
3'
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Sven Mijnans
45'+1'
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Denso Kasius
71'
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Peer Koopmeiners
84'
-
Ro-Zangelo Daal
87'
FC Twente vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F38%2Fjoseph-oosting.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result
FC Twente
42.35%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
23.66%
▲
(+0.01)
AZ Alkmaar
33.99%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
62.16%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.28%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
39.72%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
37.92%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
62.07%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
20.5%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
79.5%
▲
(+0.02)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
80.91%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
19.09%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
49.3%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
50.7%
▲
(+0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
76.83%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
23.17%
Over 1.5
42.95%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
57.05%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
FC Twente
42.35%
Draw
23.66%
AZ Alkmaar
33.99%
FC Twente
2-1
@
8.87%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 42.35%
1-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 42.35%
Draw
1-1
@
10.71%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.66%
2-2 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.66%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2
@
7.83%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 33.99%
0-1 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 33.99%