Eredivisie Gameweek 32
AZ
May 11, 2025 3.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT AFAS Stadion
Groningen
  • Sven Mijnans 9' goal
  • Ernest Poku 30' goal
  • Ruben van Bommel 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Mexx Meerdink 48' goal
  • yellowcard Hjalmar Ekdal 39'
  • yellowcard Wouter Prins 81'

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 1.30pm
Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 3 AZ
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Groningen

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 7.00pm
Groningen 6 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Jorg Schreuders

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 14.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 66.93% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 18.9% ▲ (+0.12)
Groningen 14.16% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.08% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.21% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 39.79% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 37.85% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 62.14% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 4.5 20.44% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 79.56% ▲ (+0.15)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 89.01% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 10.99% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 64.73% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 35.27% ▲ (+0.28)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5 59.64% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 40.36% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 23.02% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 76.98% ▼ (-0.12)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 66.93%
Draw 18.9%
Groningen 14.16%
AZ Alkmaar
2-0 @ 10.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 66.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 18.9%
Groningen
1-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 14.16%

Head to Head

KNVB Beker
AZ
Dec 18, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
Groningen
  • Sven Mijnans 4' goal
  • Ruben van Bommel 70' goal
  • Jayden Addai 84' goal
  • goal Leandro Bacuna 41'
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Groningen
Aug 25, 2024 11.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Euroborg
AZ
  • Leandro Bacuna 28' yellowcard
  • Romano Postema 34' yellowcard
  • Finn Stam 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wouter Goes 23'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
AZ
Mar 11, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Groningen
  • Jesper Karlsson 4' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Groningen
Oct 1, 2022 5.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
AZ
  • Ricardo Pepi 42' goal
  • goal Dani de Wit 3'
  • goal Jesper Karlsson 19'
  • goal Kerkez Milos 62'
  • goal Mayckel Lahdo 85'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
AZ
Dec 21, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Groningen
  • Jesper Karlsson 68' goal
  • redcard Neraysho Kasanwirjo 4'
  • yellowcard Danny Buijs 12'
  • yellowcard Michael de Leeuw 28'
  • yellowcard Laros Duarte 78'
  • yellowcard Wessel Dammers 87'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Groningen
Oct 24, 2021 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
AZ
  • Cyril Ngonge 20' goal
  • Tomas Suslov 62' yellowcard
  • Michael de Leeuw 71' goal
  • yellowcard Pantelis Hatzidiakos 43'
  • yellowcard Albert Gudmundsson 65'
  • yellowcard Tijjani Reijnders 72'

Form Data

Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 3 AZ
AZ 1 - 1 NAC Breda
AZ 1 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles
Heracles 1 - 0 AZ
AZ 0 - 1 Feyenoord
AZ 2 - 2 RKC Waalwijk
Groningen 6 - 1 RKC Waalwijk
Groningen 4 - 1 Heracles
Utrecht 3 - 1 Groningen
Groningen 1 - 3 PSV
Feyenoord 4 - 1 Groningen
NAC Breda 1 - 1 Groningen