Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 11, 2025 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
3 - 0
Groningen

Mijnans (9'), Poku (30'), Meerdink (48')
van Bommel (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ekdal (39'), Prins (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 6-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, May 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 14.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Groningen
66.93% ( -0.28)	18.9% ( 0.12)	14.16% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 53.08% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.21% (

-0.17)

39.79% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.85% (

-0.18)

62.14% (

0.18)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.01% (

-0.12)

10.99% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.73% (

-0.27)

35.27% (

0.28)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.64% (

0.13)

40.36% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.02% (

0.12)

76.98% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 66.93%

Groningen 14.16%

Draw 18.9%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Groningen
2-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.17% Total : 66.93%	1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.9%	1-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.71% Total : 14.16%