Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.