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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 47.22% ( | 22.79% ( | 29.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( | 37.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% ( | 59.43% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.83% ( | 16.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.38% ( | 45.62% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( | 24.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% ( | 58.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 5-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.22% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0-2 @ 3.93% ( 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.99% |