Eredivisie | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
2 - 0
FC Twente

Henderson (28'), Weghorst (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Steijn (40'), Verschueren (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 2-2 Ajax
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 2-3 AZ
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 3-1 (6.6%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	FC Twente
54.43% ( 2.2)	20.96% ( -0.6)	24.61% ( -1.6)

Both teams to score 65.35% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.29% (

1.35)

32.7% (

-1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.62% (

1.54)

54.38% (

-1.54)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.78% (

1.11)

12.22% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.09% (

2.29)

37.9% (

-2.29)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

-0.41)

25.55% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.58% (

-0.56)

60.41% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Ajax 54.43%

FC Twente 24.61%

Draw 20.96%

Ajax	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.29) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.18) 4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.14) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.65% Total : 54.43%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.96%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.37% Total : 24.61%