Eredivisie | Gameweek 33

May 14, 2025 at 7pm UK

Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium

Groningen
2 - 2
Ajax

van Bergen (52'), Blokzijl (90+9')
Bacuna (55'), Ekdal (81'), Vaessen (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gaaei (27'), Weghorst (68')
Henderson (72'), Gaaei (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 3-0 Groningen
Sunday, May 11 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 0-3 Nijmegen
Sunday, May 11 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Ajax
32.38% ( -1.5)	24.57% ( 0.22)	43.05% ( 1.28)

Both teams to score 58.29% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.45% (

-1.49)

44.55% (

1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.08% (

-1.46)

66.92% (

1.46)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.58% (

-1.61)

26.42% (

1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.42% (

-2.2)

61.58% (

2.2)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21% (

-0.04)

20.79% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.56% (

-0.06)

53.44% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Groningen 32.38%

Ajax 43.05%

Draw 24.57%

Groningen	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.38%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57%	1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.53) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.05%