Eredivisie
Gameweek
33
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-
Thom van Bergen
52'
-
Leandro Bacuna
55'
-
Hjalmar Ekdal
81'
-
Luciano Valente
90'+3'
-
Thijmen Blokzijl
90'+9'
-
Etienne Vaessen
90'+9'
-
Anton Gaaei
27'
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Wout Weghorst
68'
-
Jordan Henderson
72'
-
Anton Gaaei
83'
Groningen vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result
Groningen
32.38%
▼
(-1.51)
Draw
24.57%
▲
(+0.23)
Ajax
43.05%
▲
(+1.29)
Both Teams to Score:
58.29%
▼
(-1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.45%
▼
(-1.49)
Under 2.5
44.55%
▲
(+1.50)
Over 3.5
33.08%
▼
(-1.46)
Under 3.5
66.92%
▲
(+1.46)
Over 4.5
16.85%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 4.5
83.15%
▲
(+1.08)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5
73.58%
▼
(-1.62)
Under 0.5
26.42%
▲
(+1.62)
Over 1.5
38.42%
▼
(-2.20)
Under 1.5
61.58%
▲
(+2.20)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
79.21%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
20.79%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
46.56%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
53.44%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Groningen
32.38%
Draw
24.57%
Ajax
43.05%
Groningen
2-1
@
7.64%
▼
(-0.23)
1-0 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.38%
1-0 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.38%
Draw
1-1
@
11.48%
▲
(+0.21)
2-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.35)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.57%
2-2 @ 6% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.35)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.57%
Ajax
1-2
@
9.02%
▲
(+0.15)
0-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.54)
0-2 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.42)
1-3 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.05%
0-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.54)
0-2 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.42)
1-3 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.05%