Eredivisie | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 1
Almere City

Moller Wolfe (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Robinet (28')
Haye (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: FC Twente 2-3 AZ
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Sittard
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 82.53%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 5.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.33%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Almere City
82.53% ( 0.55)	12% ( -0.32)	5.47% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 41.54% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.93% (

0.56)

35.07% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.93% (

0.61)

57.07% (

-0.61)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.66% (

0.22)

6.34% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.16% (

0.61)

23.84% (

-0.6)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.36% (

-0.35)

55.64% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.74% (

-0.21)

88.26% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 82.52%

Almere City 5.47%

Draw 12%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Almere City
2-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 4% Total : 82.52%	1-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.46% Total : 12%	0-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.73% Total : 5.47%