Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.