Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT WWK Arena
  • Samuel Essende 39' yellowcard
  • Marius Wolf 47' goal
  • Elvis Rexhbecaj 58' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Giannoulis 62' yellowcard
  • Phillip Tietz 66' goal
  • Phillip Tietz 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Yusuf Kabadayi 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 5'
  • yellowcard Lars Ritzka 22'
  • goal Carlo Boukhalfa 75'
  • yellowcard Alexander Blessin 90'
  • yellowcard Karol Mets 90'+4'

Augsburg vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2024 2.30pm
Heidenheim 4 - 0 Augsburg
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Alexis Claude-Maurice

St Pauli

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last game
Aug 30, 2024 7.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 0 St Pauli
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Morgan Guilavogui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Augsburg 27.22% (-0.19)
Draw 24.35% (+0.23)
St Pauli 48.43% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.91% (-0.90)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.72% (-1.12)
Under 2.5 46.28% (+1.12)
Over 3.5 31.43% (-1.06)
Under 3.5 68.57% (+1.06)
Over 4.5 15.67% (-0.76)
Under 4.5 84.33% (+0.76)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5 69.18% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 30.82% (+0.73)
Over 1.5 32.91% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 67.09% (+0.86)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 80.81% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 19.19% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 49.13% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 50.86% (+0.75)

Score analysis

Augsburg 27.22%
Draw 24.35%
St Pauli 48.43%
Augsburg
1-0 @ 6.96% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.1% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 27.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 5.91% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.35%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 9.76% (+0.32)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.06% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 5.22% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.44% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.11)
1-4 @ 2.16% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.83% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 48.43%