La Liga
Gameweek
10
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-
Clement Lenglet
30'
-
Alexander Sorloth
69'
-
Javi Galan
73'
-
Antoine Griezmann
81'
-
Antoine Griezmann
89'
-
Giuliano Simeone
90'+2'
-
Rodrigo De Paul
90'+8'
-
Alexander Sorloth
90'+9'
-
Yvan Neyou
34'
-
Seydouba Cisse
80'
Atletico Madrid vs Leganes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result
Atletico Madrid
58.74%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
24.01%
▲
(+0.03)
Leganes
17.25%
▲
(+0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
44.15%
▲
(+0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.62%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
55.38%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
23.42%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
76.58%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 4.5
10.37%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
89.63%
▼
(-0.07)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
81.33%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
18.67%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
50%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
50%
▲
(+0.03)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5
54.29%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
45.71%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 1.5
18.5%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 1.5
81.49%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Atletico Madrid
58.73%
Draw
24.01%
Leganes
17.25%
Atletico Madrid
1-0
@
14.32%
▼
(-0.09)
2-0 @ 12.01% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 58.73%
2-0 @ 12.01% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 58.73%
Draw
1-1
@
11.21%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.01%
0-0 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.01%
Leganes
0-1
@
6.68%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 17.25%
1-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 17.25%
Ivan Cuellar
93'