Champions League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fastlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog_1.png)
-
Ross Barkley
50'
-
John McGinn
55'
-
Jhon Duran
64'
-
Riccardo Orsolini
19'
-
Stefan Posch
45'
-
Charalampos Lykogiannis
47'
-
Remo Freuler
53'
Aston Villa vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F43%2Fjhon-duran_2.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F43%2Femiliano-buendia.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F43%2Fjohn-mcginn.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Ftyrone-mings.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F42%2Folieide.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Fjhon-duran_1.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result
Aston Villa
39.57%
▼
(-1.95)
Draw
25.35%
▲
(+0.49)
Bologna
35.08%
▲
(+1.47)
Both Teams to Score:
56.33%
▼
(-1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.57%
▼
(-1.90)
Under 2.5
47.42%
▲
(+1.90)
Over 3.5
30.36%
▼
(-1.79)
Under 3.5
69.64%
▲
(+1.79)
Over 4.5
14.92%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 4.5
85.07%
▲
(+1.26)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
76.29%
▼
(-1.80)
Under 0.5
23.71%
▲
(+1.80)
Over 1.5
42.16%
▼
(-2.65)
Under 1.5
57.83%
▲
(+2.65)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5
73.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
26.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
38.75%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
61.25%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Aston Villa
39.57%
Draw
25.35%
Bologna
35.08%
Aston Villa
1-0
@
8.93%
▲
(+0.24)
2-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.24)
2-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.35)
3-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.26)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.24)
4-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.22)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 39.57%
2-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.24)
2-0 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.35)
3-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.26)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.24)
4-1 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.22)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 39.57%
Draw
1-1
@
11.97%
▲
(+0.32)
0-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.48)
2-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.35%
0-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.48)
2-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.35%
Bologna
0-1
@
8.32%
▲
(+0.64)
1-2 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.20)
0-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.42)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.19)
1-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 35.08%
1-2 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.20)
0-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.42)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.19)
1-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 35.08%
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F38%2Funai-emery.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Funai-emery_1.jpg)
Feature