World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
Lautaro Martinez
55'
-
Lautaro Martinez
55'
-
Lautaro Martinez
55'
-
Miguel Araujo
44'
-
Miguel Araujo
44'
-
Miguel Araujo
44'
-
Carlos Zambrano
88'
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Carlos Zambrano
88'
-
Carlos Zambrano
88'
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Gianluca Lapadula
90'+3'
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Gianluca Lapadula
90'+3'
Argentina vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 84.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 4.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.43%) and 1-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.24%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
Result
Argentina
84.47%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
11.12%
▲
(+0.02)
Peru
4.41%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
37.07%
▲
(+0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.76%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 2.5
36.24%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 3.5
41.64%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 3.5
58.36%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 4.5
23.48%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 4.5
76.52%
▼
(-0.21)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5
93.81%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
6.19%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
76.6%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
23.41%
▼
(-0.09)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5
39.52%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 0.5
60.48%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 1.5
9.11%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 1.5
90.89%
▼
(-0.19)
Score analysis
Argentina
84.45%
Draw
11.12%
Peru
4.41%
Argentina
2-0
@
14.48%
▼
(-0.11)
3-0 @ 13.43% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 10.41% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 9.35% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 84.45%
3-0 @ 13.43% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 10.41% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 9.35% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 84.45%
Draw
1-1
@
5.24%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 11.12%
0-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 11.12%
Peru
0-1
@
1.88%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 4.41%
1-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 4.41%
Head to Head
-
Lautaro Martinez
47'
-
Lautaro Martinez
47'
-
Leandro Paredes
67'
-
Leandro Paredes
67'
-
Lautaro Martinez
86'
-
Lautaro Martinez
86'
-
Jose Guerrero
28'
-
Jose Guerrero
28'
-
Wilder Cartagena
36'
-
Wilder Cartagena
36'
-
Edison Flores
53'
-
Edison Flores
53'
-
Carlos Zambrano
88'
-
Carlos Zambrano
88'
-
Sergio Pena
90'+4'
-
Christian Cueva
90'+4'
Build-up
Feature