Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Angers win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Angers in this match.