Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.13%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 3.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 0-4 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.