Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 7.00pm
1
7
HT : 0 2
FT Yanmar Stadion
  • Kornelius Hansen 57' goal
  • Alex Balboa 60' yellowcard
  • goal Guus Til 10'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 15'
  • yellowcard Guus Til 37'
  • goal Couhaib Driouech 65'
  • goal Malik Tillman 71'
  • goal Theo Barbet 78' (OG)
  • goal Hirving Lozano 83'
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 90'

Almere City vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2024 7.00pm
Sittard 3 - 0 Almere City
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Junior Kadile

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Aug 18, 2024 11.15am
Heracles 1 - 3 PSV
Goals scored
103
Top scorer
Luuk de Jong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.13%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 3.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 0-4 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

Almere City 3.53% (-1.49)
Draw 8.33% (-1.73)
PSV Eindhoven 88.13% (+3.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.69% (-4.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.66% (+0.93)
Under 2.5 25.34% (-0.93)
Over 3.5 54.63% (+1.20)
Under 3.5 45.36% (-1.20)
Over 4.5 35.12% (+1.16)
Under 4.5 64.87% (-1.16)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5 44.3% (-5.50)
Under 0.5 55.7% (+5.50)
Over 1.5 11.7% (-3.50)
Under 1.5 88.29% (+3.50)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 96.35% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 3.64% (-0.65)
Over 1.5 84.29% (+2.09)
Under 1.5 15.7% (-2.09)

Score analysis

Almere City 3.53%
Draw 8.33%
PSV Eindhoven 88.11%
Almere City
1-0 @ 1.19% (-0.30)
2-1 @ 1.15% (-0.46)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 3.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.93% (-0.74)
0-0 @ 2.03% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 1.91% (-0.63)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 8.33%
PSV Eindhoven
0-3 @ 12.28% (+1.08)
0-2 @ 11.12% (+0.45)
0-4 @ 10.17% (+1.35)
1-3 @ 7.19% (-0.54)
0-5 @ 6.74% (+1.19)
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.85)
1-4 @ 5.96% (-0.13)
1-5 @ 3.95% (+0.12)
0-6 @ 3.72% (+0.81)
1-6 @ 2.18% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.56)
0-7 @ 1.76% (+0.45)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.36)
2-5 @ 1.16% (-0.17)
1-7 @ 1.03% (-89.47)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 88.11%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
  • Luuk de Jong 45' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 63' goal
  • yellowcard Sherel Floranus 5'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Pena 40'
Eredivisie Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Yanmar Stadion
  • Hamdi Akujobi 28' yellowcard
  • goal Guus Til 26'
  • goal Hirving Lozano 42'
  • goal Joey Veerman 66'
  • yellowcard Olivier Boscagli 77'
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 90'+3'