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Joan Jordan
42'
-
Carlos Martin
55'
-
Manu Sanchez
70'
-
Nahuel Tenaglia
77'
-
Santiago Mourino
90'+8'
-
Raul Asencio del Rosario
19'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
34'
-
Kylian Mbappe
38'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
80'
-
Lucas Vazquez
88'
-
Vinicius Junior
90'+5'
-
Thibaut Courtois
90'+7'
Alaves vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F11%2Fcarlo-ancelotti.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F14%2Fendrick.jpg)
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Alaves Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21.78%
0-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.19%
0-2 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 54.01%
Head to Head
-
Lucas Vazquez
1'
-
Federico Valverde
4'
-
Vinicius Junior
30'
-
Kylian Mbappe
40'
-
Rodrygo
48'
-
Endrick
83'
-
Luka Modric
90'+6'
-
Carlos Benavidez
85'
-
Kike
86'
-
Jude Bellingham
10'
-
Vinicius Junior
27'
-
Federico Valverde
45'+1'
-
Vinicius Junior
52'
-
Vinicius Junior
70'
-
Arda Guler
81'
-
Ruben Duarte
50'
-
Ruben Duarte
45'
-
Javi Lopez
83'
-
Nahuel Tenaglia
90'
-
Carlo Ancelotti
39'
-
Nacho
54'
-
Jude Bellingham
84'
-
Lucas Vazquez
90'+2'
-
Luka Modric
33'
-
Marco Asensio
63'
-
Vinicius Junior
80'
-
Karim Benzema
90'+1'
-
Mamadou N'Diaye
48'
-
Manu Garcia
35'
-
Joselu
65'
-
Karim Benzema
48'
-
Gareth Bale
53'
-
Nacho
56'
-
Karim Benzema
62'
-
Thibaut Courtois
64'
-
Vinicius Junior
90'+2'
-
Ximo Navarro
10'
-
Manu Garcia
49'
-
Joselu
59'
-
Victor Laguardia
79'
-
Borja Sainz
85'
-
Edgar Mendez
90'+2'
-
Casemiro
15'
-
Karim Benzema
41'
-
Eden Hazard
45'+1'
-
Eder Militao
59'
-
Karim Benzema
70'
-
Ferland Mendy
86'
-
Karim Benzema
88'