/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fauxlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
-
Gaetan Perrin
34'
-
Ki-Jana Hoever
59'
-
Jubal
77'
-
Jubal
90'+1'
-
Derek Cornelius
38'
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Derek Cornelius
63'
-
Geronimo Rulli
75'
Auxerre vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fmason-greenwood.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result
Auxerre
23.33%
▼
(-0.44)
Draw
25.11%
▼
(-0.03)
Marseille
51.56%
▲
(+0.46)
Both Teams to Score:
49.75%
▼
(-0.40)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.41%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
52.59%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 3.5
25.76%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
74.24%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 4.5
11.84%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
88.16%
▲
(+0.16)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5
62.49%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 0.5
37.5%
▲
(+0.56)
Over 1.5
25.71%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 1.5
74.29%
▲
(+0.56)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
79.6%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
20.4%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
47.18%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
52.82%
▼
(-0.12)
Score analysis
Auxerre
23.33%
Draw
25.11%
Marseille
51.56%
Auxerre
1-0
@
7.5%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 23.33%
2-1 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 23.33%
Draw
1-1
@
11.92%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.11%
0-0 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.11%
Marseille
0-1
@
12.16%
▲
(+0.17)
0-2 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.16)
1-2 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 51.56%
0-2 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.16)
1-2 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 51.56%