League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 31, 2026 12.30pm
Vale Park

Port Vale vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
York City 2 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
George Byers

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Rochdale 0 - 5 Accrington
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Dajaune Brown

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw has a probability of 27.11% and a win for Rochdale has a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.57%) , while for a Rochdale win it is 0-1 (8.56%).

Result

Port Vale 48.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 27.11% ▲ (+0.13)
Rochdale 23.92% ▼ (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.17% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 32.16% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 42.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 57.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 21.69% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 78.31% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 11.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.44% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 35.53% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 42.69% ▼ (-0.06)
Rochdale 21.78% ▼ (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Port Vale 54.42% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 9.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Rochdale 35.88% ▼ (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 53.77% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 35.01% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 9 42.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 46.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 32.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 67.41% ▼ (-0.03)

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 41.2% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 58.8% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 17.38% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 82.62% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.98% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 94.02% ▼ (-0.07)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 56.73% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 43.27% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 22.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 77.68% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 6.48% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 93.52% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 1.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.4% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Port Vale 48.97%
Draw 27.12%
Rochdale 23.91%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 13.9% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 48.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.12%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 23.91%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 24
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Eoghan O'Connell 76' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Ball 90'+3' goal
  • Corey O'Keeffe 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Garrity 45'
  • yellowcard David Worrall 55'
EFL Trophy
Oct 5, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jake Taylor 2' yellowcard
  • Brad Walker 40' yellowcard
  • Malvind Benning 82' yellowcard
  • J 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jimmy Keohane 29'
  • yellowcard Max Taylor 55'
  • yellowcard Liam Kelly 57'
League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jamie Proctor 8' goal
  • Jamie Proctor 59' goal
  • goal Jake Beesley 24'
  • goal Jake Beesley 53'
  • goal Corey O'Keeffe 79'
  • yellowcard Jake Beesley 88'
  • yellowcard Eoghan O'Connell 90'+1'
League One
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Matthew Lund 34' goal
  • Donal McDermott 43' goal
  • Ian Henderson 45' goal
  • Callum Camps 49' yellowcard
  • Donal McDermott 51' yellowcard
  • Calvin Andrew 60' yellowcard
  • redcard Danny Pugh 21'
  • yellowcard Ryan Taylor 62'
  • yellowcard Andre Bikey 72'
League One
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anthony Grant 18' yellowcard
  • Nathan Smith 52' goal
  • Remie Streete 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrew Cannon 17'
  • yellowcard Jimmy McNulty 72'
  • yellowcard Niall Canavan 95'
League One
Apr 23, 2016 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Theo Robinson 37' goal
  • Michael O'Connor 45' goal
  • JJ Hooper 46' goal
  • Michael O'Connor 76' goal
  • yellowcard Ashley Eastham 29'
  • goal Calvin Andrew 50'