EFL Trophy Gameweek 3
Oct 27, 2026 7.00pm
Vale Park

Port Vale vs Manchester City Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 6, 2026 7.00pm
Port Vale 2 - 0 Mansfield

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 7.00pm
Chesterfield 0 - 0 Man City U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s has a probability of 38.05% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win is 1-2 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.1%).

Result

Port Vale 38.85% ▲ (+0.58)
Draw 23.1% ▲ (+0.11)
Manchester City Under-21s 38.05% ▼ (-0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.19% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 18.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 39.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 38.04% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 3.5 61.91% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 4.5 24.21% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 75.79% ▲ (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 29.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 40.08% ▲ (+0.09)
Manchester City Under-21s 30.72%

Team To Score First

Port Vale 50.02% ▲ (+0.17)
No Goal 5.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Manchester City Under-21s 44.72% ▼ (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 54.92% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 8 10.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 34.8% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 9 44.62% ▼ (-0.24)
Equal 9 10.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 45.08% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 35.04% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 10.5 64.96% ▲ (+0.25)

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 42.73% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 57.27% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 2.5 20.35% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 2.5 79.65% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 3.5 8.03% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 91.97% ▼ (-0.15)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 71.45% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 0.5 28.55% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 1.5 42.39% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 1.5 57.61% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 2.5 20.77% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 2.5 79.23% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 3.5 8.67% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 3.5 91.33% ▲ (+0.30)

Score analysis

Port Vale 38.86%
Draw 23.1%
Manchester City Under-21s 38.06%
Port Vale
2-1 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.20)
1-0 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 38.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.1%
Manchester City Under-21s
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.29)
Total : 38.06%