League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • Cameron Humphreys 15' yellowcard
  • Jordan Gabriel 30' yellowcard
  • Onel Hernández 45' goal
  • Jaheim Headley 59' yellowcard
  • Jon Brady 69' yellowcard
  • J. Brady 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Stirk 54'
  • yellowcard Lewis Gordon 64'

Port Vale vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Port Vale 1 - 0 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
George Byers

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Crawley 2 - 2 Chesterfield
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Louie Marsh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Port Vale 33.58% ▲ (+0.62)
Draw 27.94% ▲ (+0.40)
Chesterfield 38.48% ▼ (-1.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.1% ▼ (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.5% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 30.5% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 43.56%
Under 2.5 56.44%
Over 3.5 23% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 77% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 11.9% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 88.1% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 25.36% ▲ (+1.04)
Draw 45.3% ▲ (+0.58)
Chesterfield 29.34% ▼ (-1.61)

Team To Score First

Port Vale 43.06% ▲ (+0.25)
No Goal 8.95% ▲ (+0.10)
Chesterfield 47.99% ▼ (-0.36)

Corners

Over 8 55.03% ▼ (-4.13)
Equal 8 11.52% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 8 33.45% ▲ (+4.82)
Over 9 43.55% ▼ (-2.98)
Equal 9 11.48% ▼ (-1.17)
Under 9 44.97% ▲ (+4.13)
Over 10.5 33.03% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 10.5 66.97% ▲ (+1.63)

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 31.16% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 68.84% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 2.5 10.88% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 2.5 89.12% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 3.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 96.73% ▼ (-0.11)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 69.55% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 0.5 30.45% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 34.74% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 1.5 65.26% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 2.5 13.18% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 86.82% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 4.06% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.94% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Port Vale 33.58%
Draw 27.93%
Chesterfield 38.5%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.27% ▲ (+0.21)
2-1 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 27.93%
Chesterfield
0-1 @ 11.29% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.35)
1-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.21)
Total : 38.5%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy Gameweek 1
Sep 22, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Louie Marsh 69' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan Gabriel 18'
  • goal Onel Hernández 39'
  • yellowcard Aaron McGowan 89'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Armando Dobra 76' goal
  • goal Jayden Stockley 2'
  • yellowcard Rekeem Harper 21'
  • yellowcard Ryan Croasdale 45'
  • redcard Mitch Clark 51'
  • yellowcard C 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • Ethan Chislett 11' goal
  • Ethan Chislett 15' yellowcard
  • Ben Garrity 44' yellowcard
  • Kyle John 75' yellowcard
  • Lorent Tolaj 83' yellowcard
  • Jayden Stockley 84' yellowcard
  • Ruari Paton 90'+5' yellowcard
League Two
Mar 30, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Pugh 45' goal
  • Danny Pugh 45' redcard
  • David Worrall 78' yellowcard
  • Luke Hannant 79' yellowcard
  • Ben Whitfield 82' goal
  • Nathan Smith 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bradley Barry 3'
  • goal Louis Reed 56'
  • yellowcard Zavon Hines 78'
League Two
Aug 19, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kristian Dennis 38' goal
  • Jordan Sinnott 43' goal
  • Scott Wiseman 83' yellowcard
  • Jak McCourt 95' yellowcard
League One
Apr 8, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Rowley 54' goal