League Two Gameweek 9
Colchester
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
JobServe Community Stadium
Port Vale

Colchester United vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 2 - 2 Colchester
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Moses Sesay

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm
Port Vale 0 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
George Byers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.33% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%) , while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Colchester United 50.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.33%
Port Vale 23.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 28.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 45.6%
Under 2.5 54.4%
Over 3.5 24.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.95% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Colchester United 35.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 43.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Port Vale 20.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Colchester United 54.63%
No Goal 8.35%
Port Vale 37.02%

Corners

Over 8 60.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.09%
Under 8 27.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 47.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.68%
Under 9 39.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 35.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 64.24% ▲ (+0.04)

Colchester United Goals

Over 1.5 44.58% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 55.42% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 19.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.04% ▲ (+0.02)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 57.63%
Under 0.5 42.37%
Over 1.5 23.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 76.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 93.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Colchester United 50.34%
Draw 26.33%
Port Vale 23.29%
Colchester United
1-0 @ 12.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 50.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.33%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.29%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 29
Colchester
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
Port Vale
  • Samson Tovide 34' goal
  • Rob Hunt 80' yellowcard
  • Ellis Iandolo 85' yellowcard
  • Fiacre Kelleher 86' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle John 42'
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 77'
  • goal Rico Richards 85'
League Two Gameweek 9
Port Vale
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
Colchester
  • Ben Heneghan 44' yellowcard
  • Jesse Debrah 56' goal
  • Kyle John 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur Read 34'
  • yellowcard Alex Woodyard 60'
  • yellowcard Tom Flanagan 86'
  • goal Samson Tovide 90'
  • yellowcard Mandela Egbo 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 35
Colchester
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Port Vale
  • Tom Dallison 85' goal
  • yellowcard David Worrall 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 14
Port Vale
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Colchester
  • James Gibbons 6' goal
  • James Wilson 16' goal
  • Aaron Martin 61' goal
  • James Gibbons 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu 11'
  • yellowcard Noah Chilvers 51'
League Two Gameweek 37
Colchester
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
Port Vale
  • Frank Nouble 77' yellowcard
  • Tom Eastman 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manny Oyeleke 16'
  • goal Devante Rodney 19'
  • yellowcard Cristian Montano 61'
  • yellowcard Leon Legge 62'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 89'
League Two Gameweek 17
Port Vale
Dec 12, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
Colchester
  • Devante Rodney 58' goal
  • Luke Joyce 69' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Norris 65'
  • yellowcard Luke Norris 77'
  • yellowcard Luke Gambin 88'
  • yellowcard Courtney Senior 90'+2'

Form Data

Shrewsbury 2 - 2 Colchester
Peterborough 3 - 1 Colchester
Colchester 1 - 1 Cheltenham
Colchester 1 - 1 Crewe
Swindon 3 - 1 Colchester
Bristol Rovers 2 - 0 Colchester
Port Vale 0 - 0 Northampton
Chesterfield 1 - 1 Port Vale
Walsall 2 - 0 Port Vale
Port Vale 1 - 0 Exeter
Salford City 1 - 0 Port Vale
Swindon 3 - 1 Port Vale