League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm
Vale Park

Port Vale vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 12.30pm
Walsall 2 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
George Byers

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Northampton 0 - 1 Rotherham
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Logan Briggs

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.95% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%) , while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Port Vale 49.75%
Draw 27.95%
Northampton Town 22.24%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.12%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.19%
Under 1.5 34.81%
Over 2.5 39.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 60.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 19.05%
Under 3.5 80.95%
Over 4.5 9.92%
Under 4.5 90.08%

First Half Winner

Port Vale 31.75%
Draw 47.45%
Northampton Town 20.8%

Team To Score First

Port Vale 54.08%
No Goal 11.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Northampton Town 34.86% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.37%
Equal 8 11.63%
Under 8 24.99%
Over 9 50.88%
Equal 9 12.49%
Under 9 36.63%
Over 10.5 38.74%
Under 10.5 61.26%

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 40.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 83.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.51%
Under 3.5 94.49%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 53.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 46.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 19.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.26%
Under 3.5 98.74%

Score analysis

Port Vale 49.75%
Draw 27.95%
Northampton Town 22.23%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 15.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 5.41%
Total : 49.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 11.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 27.95%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 8.58%
1-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 1.53%
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 22.23%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Kamarai Swyer 46' yellowcard
  • Jack Perkins 64' yellowcard
  • E. List 64' yellowcard
  • Jake Evans 72' yellowcard
  • Michael Jacobs 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel 21'
  • goal Jayden Stockley 45'+8'
  • yellowcard J. Shipley 60'
  • yellowcard Andre Gray 61'
  • yellowcard Rhys Walters 61'
  • yellowcard Ben Waine 76'
  • yellowcard Liam Gordon 89'
League One
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Mitchell Pinnock 34' goal
  • Lee Burge 78' yellowcard
  • Shaun McWilliams 90'+4' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Garrity 16'
  • yellowcard Jensen Weir 64'
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Ethan Chislett 53' yellowcard
  • Ben Garrity 84' goal
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aaron Martin 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Lewis 52'
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 63'
  • yellowcard Beryly Lubala 82'
League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Benny Ashley-Seal 23' goal
  • Jon Guthrie 71' yellowcard
  • Aaron McGowan 73' yellowcard
  • Dylan Connolly 77' yellowcard
  • Danny Rose 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Johnson 27'
  • redcard Tom Conlon 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Martin 81'