League Two Gameweek 16
Northampton
Nov 21, 2026 3.00pm
Sixfields Stadium
Rochdale

Northampton Town vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2026 7.45pm
Northampton 0 - 1 Oldham
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 12.30pm
Port Vale 4 - 2 Rochdale
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Dajaune Brown

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Rochdale has a probability of 32.97% and a draw has a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Rochdale win is 0-1 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.78%).

Result

Northampton Town 40.94% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 26.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Rochdale 32.97% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.67% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 23.78% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 53.02% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 46.98% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 31.94% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 68.06% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 18.86% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 81.14% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Northampton Town 30.9%
Draw 45.42%
Rochdale 23.67%

Team To Score First

Northampton Town 52.71% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 6.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Rochdale 40.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 50.85%
Equal 8 12.46%
Under 8 36.69%
Over 9 38.82%
Equal 9 12.03%
Under 9 49.15%
Over 10.5 28.19%
Under 10.5 71.81%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 1.5 41.71% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 58.29% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 18.46% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 81.54% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 6.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.22% ▲ (+0.05)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 67.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 32.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 35.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 64.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.71%
Under 2.5 85.29%
Over 3.5 5.4%
Under 3.5 94.6%

Score analysis

Northampton Town 40.94%
Draw 26.08%
Rochdale 32.98%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 40.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 26.08%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.06%
Total : 32.98%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 31
Rochdale
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
Northampton
  • Ian Henderson 52' goal
  • goal Ben Fox 89'
League Two Gameweek 10
Northampton
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Rochdale
  • Jon Guthrie 42' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 73' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 81' goal
League Two Gameweek 34
Rochdale
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Northampton
  • Tahvon Campbell 53' goal
  • yellowcard Joseph Mills 78'
  • yellowcard Beryly Lubala 88'
League Two Gameweek 4
Northampton
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Rochdale
  • Jon Guthrie 21' goal
  • Sid Nelson 46' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 66' yellowcard
  • goal Max Taylor 17'
  • goal Josh Andrews 73'
  • goal Abraham Odoh 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 31
Northampton
Feb 23, 2021 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
Rochdale
  • Peter Kioso 56' yellowcard
  • Shaun McWilliams 75' yellowcard
  • Alan Sheehan 90'+4' yellowcard
League One Gameweek 14
Rochdale
Nov 24, 2020 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
Northampton
  • Stephen Humphrys 85' goal
  • goal Harry Smith 20'
  • yellowcard Jack Sowerby 79'

Form Data

Northampton 1 - 2 Gillingham
York City 4 - 0 Northampton
Northampton 0 - 1 Oldham
Accrington 1 - 1 Northampton
Northampton 2 - 0 Colchester
Northampton 0 - 1 Tranmere
Fleetwood 1 - 2 Rochdale
Rochdale 1 - 4 Doncaster
Port Vale 4 - 2 Rochdale
Rochdale 0 - 5 Accrington
Rochdale 2 - 2 Grimsby Town
Crewe 3 - 2 Rochdale