FA Cup
Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm
Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Rochdale

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Rochdale has a probability of 31.53% and a draw has a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Rochdale win is 0-1 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.68%).

Result

Fleetwood Town 43.73% ▲ (+1.16)
Draw 24.74% ▼ (-0.43)
Rochdale 31.53% ▼ (-0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.24% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.45% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 1.5 23.55% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 2.5 52.68% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 47.32% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 30.8% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 3.5 69.2% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 4.5 17.99% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 4.5 82.01% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Fleetwood Town 33.39% ▲ (+1.36)
Draw 40.79% ▼ (-1.29)
Rochdale 25.82% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Fleetwood Town 52.06% ▼ (-0.33)
No Goal 6.35% ▼ (-0.23)
Rochdale 41.59% ▲ (+0.55)

Corners

Over 8 54.3% ▼ (-3.09)
Equal 8 11.11% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 8 34.59% ▲ (+2.92)
Over 9 43.28% ▼ (-3.00)
Equal 9 11.02% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 45.7% ▲ (+3.09)
Over 10.5 33.19% ▼ (-2.68)
Under 10.5 66.81% ▲ (+2.68)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 1.5 42.92% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 57.08% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 2.5 19.95% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 2.5 80.05% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 3.5 7.44% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 92.56% ▼ (-0.32)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 65.99% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 0.5 34.01% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 1.5 33.52% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 66.48% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 2.5 13.01% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 86.99% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 4.69% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 95.31% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Fleetwood Town 43.73%
Draw 24.74%
Rochdale 31.53%
Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.18)
2-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.25)
3-0 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.34)
Total : 43.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.74%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.47)
1-2 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 4.46% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 31.53%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Mark Helm 30' goal
  • Rafaele Cirino 73' yellowcard
  • goal Dajaune Brown 8'
  • goal Aden Flint 14'
  • yellowcard Tobi Adebayo-Rowling 39'
  • redcard Tobi Adebayo-Rowling 69'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Poolfoot Farm
  • Ryan Graydon 1' goal
  • goal Devante Rodney 17'
League One Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Eoghan O'Connell 52' goal
  • Callum Connolly 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan McLaughlin 54'
League One Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Matthew Lund 13' goal
  • Jake Beesley 39' yellowcard
  • Fabio Tavares 90' goal
  • yellowcard James Hill 55'
  • goal Harvey Saunders 77'
  • yellowcard Ched Evans 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2019 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Aaron Wilbraham 41' goal
  • Aaron Wilbraham 41' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wilbraham 60' goal
  • Kwadwo Baah 88' yellowcard
  • Eoghan O'Connell 91' yellowcard
  • goal Paddy Madden 53'
  • goal Aaron Wilbraham 65' (OG)
  • goal Wes Burns 89'
  • yellowcard Wes Burns 99'
League One Gameweek 10
Sep 21, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danny Andrew 22' goal
  • Ched Evans 87' goal
  • goal Rekeil Pyke 8'
  • yellowcard Callum Camps 63'
  • yellowcard Jim McNulty 71'
  • yellowcard Aaron Morley 79'
  • yellowcard Stephen Dooley 93'