League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Alexandra Stadium

Crewe Alexandra vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm
Swindon 0 - 1 Crewe
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Josh March

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Tranmere 1 - 1 Rochdale
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Dajaune Brown

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Rochdale has a probability of 26.53% and a draw has a probability of 25.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Rochdale win is 0-1 (7.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).

Result

Crewe Alexandra 47.61% ▲ (+6.69)
Draw 25.85% ▼ (-0.10)
Rochdale 26.53% ▼ (-6.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.52% ▼ (-1.48)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.09% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 24.91% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 2.5 50.51% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 2.5 49.49% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 3.5 28.12% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 3.5 71.89% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 4.5 15.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.22% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Crewe Alexandra 37.6% ▲ (+5.75)
Draw 40.48% ▼ (-1.82)
Rochdale 21.93% ▼ (-3.93)

Team To Score First

Crewe Alexandra 57.02% ▲ (+6.71)
No Goal 6.9% ▲ (+0.15)
Rochdale 36.08% ▼ (-6.85)

Corners

Over 8 64.4% ▲ (+3.08)
Equal 8 10.91% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 8 24.69% ▼ (-2.38)
Over 9 52.65% ▲ (+3.52)
Equal 9 11.74% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 9 35.6% ▼ (-3.07)
Over 10.5 41.11% ▲ (+3.66)
Under 10.5 58.89% ▼ (-3.66)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 1.5 45.49% ▲ (+4.85)
Under 1.5 54.51% ▼ (-4.85)
Over 2.5 20.48% ▲ (+3.31)
Under 2.5 79.52% ▼ (-3.30)
Over 3.5 7.47% ▲ (+1.63)
Under 3.5 92.53% ▼ (-1.63)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 62.82% ▼ (-5.18)
Under 0.5 37.18% ▲ (+5.18)
Over 1.5 28.39% ▼ (-5.86)
Under 1.5 71.61% ▲ (+5.85)
Over 2.5 9.65% ▼ (-3.05)
Under 2.5 90.35% ▲ (+3.05)
Over 3.5 2.69% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 3.5 97.31% ▲ (+1.07)

Score analysis

Crewe Alexandra 47.63%
Draw 25.86%
Rochdale 26.54%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.61% ▲ (+1.22)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.98)
2-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+1.43)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.71)
3-0 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.96)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.28% ▲ (+1.46)
Total : 47.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.41)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 25.86%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.98)
1-2 @ 6.7% ▼ (-1.33)
0-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-1.05)
1-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.79)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.46)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.77)
Other @ 2.5% ▼ (-1.25)
Total : 26.54%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Rio Adebisi 70' goal
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 80'
League Two Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell 13' yellowcard
  • Jimmy Ball 51' yellowcard
  • Devante Rodney 69' goal
  • yellowcard Zac Williams 10'
  • goal Dan Agyei 14'
  • goal Lachlan Brook 22'
  • yellowcard Luke Offord 60'
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Antony Evans 52' yellowcard
  • Charlie Kirk 90' goal
  • yellowcard Eoghan O'Connell 90'
  • goal Matt Done 90'+7'
League One Gameweek 21
Jan 9, 2021 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 3
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Matthew Lund 41' yellowcard
  • Aaron Morley 47' goal
  • Matthew Lund 60' goal
  • Matthew Lund 84' goal
  • goal Oliver Finney 6'
  • goal Owen Dale 23'
  • goal Oliver Finney 35'
League One
Feb 16, 2016 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Rhys Bennett 2' goal
  • Joe Bunney 6' goal
  • Matthew Lund 45' yellowcard
  • Michael Rose 45' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Haber 24'
  • goal Ryan Seager 27'
  • yellowcard Zoumana Bakayogo 45'
League One
Feb 6, 2016 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • David Fox 7' yellowcard
  • Marcus Haber 31' goal
  • Bradden Inman 45' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Rafferty 49'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lund 57'