League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2026 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Matty Warhurst 9' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 15' yellowcard
  • Lee Evans 32' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 50' goal
  • yellowcard Moses Sesay 30'

Northampton Town vs Colchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Northampton 0 - 1 Tranmere
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Chesterfield 1 - 1 Colchester
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Moses Sesay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Northampton Town 32.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 26.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Colchester United 41.34% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.8% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 29.94% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 44.63% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 55.37% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 23.99% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 76.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 87.47% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Northampton Town 26.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 46.02% ▼ (-0.10)
Colchester United 27.76% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Northampton Town 44.42% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 8.53% ▼ (-0.06)
Colchester United 47.05% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 30.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 46.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 42.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 35.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 64.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 1.5 29.88% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 70.12% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 10.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.19% ▼ (-0.02)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 71.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 28.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 37.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.17% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 32.08%
Draw 26.56%
Colchester United 41.35%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99%
3-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 32.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.56%
Colchester United
0-1 @ 11.53% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 41.35%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • goal Louis Appere 41'
League Two Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Sam Hoskins 27' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 55' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 74' goal
  • Ryan Haynes 89' goal
  • goal Freddie Sears 42'
  • yellowcard Luke Hannant 72'
  • yellowcard Cameron Coxe 73'
  • yellowcard Frank Nouble 76'
  • goal Noah Chilvers 79'
  • yellowcard Noah Chilvers 83'
League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 19, 2022 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Fraser Horsfall 16' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 49' goal
  • Benny Ashley-Seal 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Judge 35'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • goal Jon Guthrie 22'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Pinnock 31'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 75'
  • redcard Fraser Horsfall 84'
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2020 3.00pm
Sixfields Stadium
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Norris 66' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Lines 33'
  • yellowcard Joe Bunney 37'