League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Technique Stadium

Chesterfield vs Colchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Crawley 2 - 2 Chesterfield
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Louie Marsh

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Newport 1 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Moses Sesay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Colchester United has a probability of 25.45% and a draw has a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Colchester United win is 0-1 (6.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.77%).

Result

Chesterfield 49.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 25.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Colchester United 25.45% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.41%
Under 1.5 24.59%
Over 2.5 51.72% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 48.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 29.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17%
Under 4.5 83%

First Half Winner

Chesterfield 37.63% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 41.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Colchester United 20.94%

Team To Score First

Chesterfield 55.03% ▼ (-0.26)
No Goal 6.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Colchester United 38.23% ▲ (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 65.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.77%
Under 8 23.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 54.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 34.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 42.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 57.65% ▼ (-0.04)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 1.5 47.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 77.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 8.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.42% ▼ (-0.02)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 61.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 38.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 27.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.42% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 90.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.45% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chesterfield 49.48%
Draw 25.07%
Colchester United 25.43%
Chesterfield
1-0 @ 10.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 49.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 25.07%
Colchester United
0-1 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.43%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 26
Mar 3, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Technique Stadium
  • Will Grigg 26' yellowcard
  • Dilan Markanday 39' goal
  • Lee Bonis 69' yellowcard
  • Dylan Duffy 69' yellowcard
  • Lee Bonis 72' goal
  • Janoi Donacien 74' yellowcard
  • Liam Mandeville 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samson Tovide 59'
  • yellowcard Jaden Williams 59'
  • yellowcard Micah Mbick 59'
  • yellowcard Romeo Akachukwu 59'
  • yellowcard Finley Barbrook 60'
  • yellowcard John-Kymani Gordon 74'
League Two
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
6
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • John-Kymani Gordon 59' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Mandeville 66'
  • yellowcard Jack Sparkes 69'
  • yellowcard Ryheem Sheckleford 75'
  • redcard Paddy Madden 89'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Will Grigg 64' goal
  • Darren Oldaker 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Armando Dobra 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Payne 6'
  • yellowcard Ben Goodliffe 11'
  • yellowcard Danny Cowley 12'
  • yellowcard Jack Payne 75'
  • yellowcard Lyle Taylor 90'+6'
League Two
Dec 30, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sam Hird 6' yellowcard
  • Louis Reed 88' yellowcard
  • Jerome Binnom-Williams 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kurtis Guthrie 86'
League Two
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brandon Hanlan 82' goal
  • goal Louis Reed 43'
  • yellowcard Bradley Barry 55'
  • yellowcard Tommy Lee 78'