League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester United vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Newport 1 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Moses Sesay

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 1 Exeter
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
J. Fitzwater

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colchester United win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw has a probability of 26.41% and a win for Exeter City has a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.64%) , while for a Exeter City win it is 0-1 (8.23%).

Result

Colchester United 47.32% ▼ (-3.94)
Draw 26.41% ▲ (+0.68)
Exeter City 26.27% ▲ (+3.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.38% ▲ (+2.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.82% ▲ (+1.44)
Under 1.5 28.18% ▼ (-1.45)
Over 2.5 46.25% ▲ (+1.47)
Under 2.5 53.75% ▼ (-1.47)
Over 3.5 24.85% ▲ (+1.49)
Under 3.5 75.15% ▼ (-1.48)
Over 4.5 13.35% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 4.5 86.65% ▼ (-0.72)

First Half Winner

Colchester United 34.88% ▼ (-1.92)
Draw 44.98% ▲ (+2.74)
Exeter City 20.13% ▼ (-0.84)

Team To Score First

Colchester United 53.25% ▼ (-1.62)
No Goal 8.12% ▼ (-0.54)
Exeter City 38.63% ▲ (+2.16)

Corners

Over 8 60.62% ▲ (+3.18)
Equal 8 11.64% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 8 27.75% ▼ (-2.86)
Over 9 48.47% ▲ (+3.18)
Equal 9 12.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 39.38% ▼ (-3.18)
Over 10.5 36.92% ▲ (+2.90)
Under 10.5 63.08% ▼ (-2.91)

Colchester United Goals

Over 1.5 42.8% ▼ (-1.65)
Under 1.5 57.2% ▲ (+1.65)
Over 2.5 18.39% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 2.5 81.61% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 3.5 6.34% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 93.66% ▲ (+0.50)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 60.79% ▲ (+4.09)
Under 0.5 39.21% ▼ (-4.09)
Over 1.5 26.23% ▲ (+3.84)
Under 1.5 73.77% ▼ (-3.85)
Over 2.5 8.15% ▲ (+1.87)
Under 2.5 91.85% ▼ (-1.88)
Over 3.5 2.07% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 3.5 97.93% ▼ (-0.55)

Score analysis

Colchester United 47.31%
Draw 26.41%
Exeter City 26.27%
Colchester United
1-0 @ 11.82% ▼ (-1.25)
2-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.29)
2-0 @ 8.7% ▼ (-1.08)
3-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.21)
3-0 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.78)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.54)
Total : 47.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64% ▲ (+0.47)
0-0 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.54)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.50)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.41%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.29)
1-2 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.74)
0-2 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.61)
1-3 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.47)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.34)
0-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.52)
Total : 26.27%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jack Sparkes 32' goal
  • Offrande Zanzala 63' goal
  • yellowcard Cameron Coxe 66'
League Two Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Sylvester Jasper 12' goal
  • Junior Tchamadeu 23' yellowcard
  • Noah Chilvers 45'+3' goal
  • Freddie Sears 74' goal
  • Cole Skuse 85' yellowcard
  • Noah Chilvers 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Padraig Amond 69'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 23, 2021 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Aramide Oteh 66' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Parkes 9'
  • goal Robbie Willmott 27'
  • goal Ben Seymour 64'
  • yellowcard Lewis Page 81'
League Two Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2020 7.00pm
6
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Matt Jay 20' goal
  • Joel Randall 53' goal
  • Ryan Bowman 57' goal
  • Ryan Bowman 71' goal
  • Ryan Bowman 90'+3' goal
  • Matt Jay 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Folivi 61'
  • goal Michael Folivi 73'
  • yellowcard Ben Stevenson 81'
League Two
Jun 22, 2020 5.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
ET
  • Aaron Martin 10' goal
  • Ryan Bowman 40' yellowcard
  • Jayden Richardson 58' goal
  • Ryan Bowman 111' goal
  • yellowcard Cohen Bramall 23'
  • goal Courtney Senior 78'
  • yellowcard Tom Eastman 120'
League Two
Jun 18, 2020 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Harry Pell 58' yellowcard
  • Cohen Bramall 81' goal
  • yellowcard Nicky Law 45'+1'