League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Sixfields Stadium

Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
York City 1 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Tranmere 1 - 1 Rochdale
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Dylan Jones

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Tranmere Rovers has a probability of 29.95% and a draw has a probability of 27.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win is 0-1 (9.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.02%).

Result

Northampton Town 42.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 27.82% ▼ (-0.13)
Tranmere Rovers 29.95% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.05% ▼ (-0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.22% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 30.78% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 2.5 43.62% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 56.38% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 23% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 77% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 11.97% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 4.5 88.03% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Northampton Town 31.43% ▼ (-0.50)
Draw 47.46% ▲ (+0.07)
Tranmere Rovers 21.11% ▲ (+0.43)

Team To Score First

Northampton Town 54.11% ▲ (+0.40)
No Goal 9.44% ▲ (+0.06)
Tranmere Rovers 36.45% ▼ (-0.46)

Corners

Over 8 56.64% ▼ (-3.73)
Equal 8 12.14%
Under 8 31.21% ▲ (+3.73)
Over 9 44.35% ▼ (-3.30)
Equal 9 12.29% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 9 43.36% ▲ (+3.73)
Over 10.5 33.02% ▼ (-2.58)
Under 10.5 66.98% ▲ (+2.58)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 1.5 37.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.03% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.97% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.32% ▼ (-0.03)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 63.06% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 36.94% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 28.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.37% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 42.2%
Draw 27.83%
Tranmere Rovers 29.93%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.81%
2-1 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 42.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.02% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.83%
Tranmere Rovers
0-1 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.15)
1-2 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 29.93%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Prenton Park
  • goal Sam Hoskins 5'
League Two Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Fraser Horsfall 29' goal
  • Fraser Horsfall 37' goal
  • Mitchell Pinnock 66' goal
  • Fraser Horsfall 72' yellowcard
  • Beryly Lubala 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum McManaman 12'
  • yellowcard Josh McPake 68'
  • goal Josh McPake 75'
  • goal Kane Hemmings 88'
  • yellowcard Lee O'Connor 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jay Spearing 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Lewis 43'
  • goal Kion Etete 52'
  • yellowcard Ali Koiki 58'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 68'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 86'
League Two Gameweek 27
Feb 5, 2019 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Prenton Park (Birkenhead, Merseyside)
  • James Norwood 25' goal
  • goal Sam Hoskins 2'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 45'
  • yellowcard John-Joe O'Toole 67'
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 83'
  • yellowcard Shay Facey 87'
League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 1, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
  • Junior Morias 61' goal
  • goal James Norwood 51'
  • yellowcard Oliver Banks 86'
  • yellowcard Connor Jennings 90'